Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.001046 1.193142e-03 0.001342 0.001504 0.001674 0.001847 0.002036
2025-04-27 0.000776 9.800049e-04 0.001195 0.001437 0.001699 0.001972 0.002277
2025-05-04 0.000641 8.911305e-04 0.001165 0.001482 0.001833 0.002205 0.002627
2025-05-11 0.000462 7.317340e-04 0.001042 0.001412 0.001832 0.002287 0.002810
2025-05-18 0.000308 5.806134e-04 0.000912 0.001323 0.001801 0.002329 0.002944
2025-05-25 0.000213 4.861408e-04 0.000839 0.001291 0.001828 0.002430 0.003140
2025-06-01 0.000127 3.844167e-04 0.000745 0.001226 0.001812 0.002478 0.003272
2025-06-08 0.000076 3.218949e-04 0.000694 0.001208 0.001846 0.002580 0.003463
2025-06-15 0.000055 3.023814e-04 0.000699 0.001258 0.001960 0.002774 0.003757
2025-06-22 0.000023 2.464171e-04 0.000646 0.001228 0.001975 0.002849 0.003914
2025-06-29 0.000009 2.148365e-04 0.000624 0.001238 0.002035 0.002977 0.004130
2025-07-06 0.000007 2.230775e-04 0.000664 0.001331 0.002199 0.003227 0.004486
2025-07-13 NaN 1.557454e-04 0.000586 0.001278 0.002202 0.003311 0.004683
2025-07-20 NaN 9.640210e-05 0.000507 0.001216 0.002192 0.003382 0.004868
2025-07-27 NaN 7.752655e-05 0.000499 0.001258 0.002317 0.003617 0.005246
2025-08-03 NaN 3.671376e-05 0.000424 0.001193 0.002299 0.003677 0.005419
2025-08-10 NaN 8.340416e-06 0.000345 0.001111 0.002253 0.003698 0.005544
2025-08-17 NaN 2.315131e-07 0.000302 0.001081 0.002275 0.003803 0.005767
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000246 0.001021 0.002251 0.003848 0.005917
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000217 0.001005 0.002286 0.003966 0.006154
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000220 0.001051 0.002411 0.004199 0.006529
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000188 0.001024 0.002428 0.004291 0.006733
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000175 0.001032 0.002496 0.004449 0.007016